Geopolitical analysis and signals.
Geopolitics
Budapest’s threat to block new EU sanctions on Russia is no longer just a foreign-policy dispute. It is now tightly fused with campaign incentives ahead of Hungary’s April vote — and that could shape Europe’s Russia posture for months. Hungary is reportedly linking support for the European Union’
Geopolitics
Pakistani warplanes struck the Afghan capital and the Taliban's southern power base overnight, marking the most serious military escalation between the neighbours since the Taliban's return to power in 2021. Pakistan, a nuclear-armed state, has declared "open war" on a government it once helped
Europe
Standout: For two years after Jeffrey Epstein's death, accountability followed a predictable pattern: individual resignations, quiet apologies, and institutional silence. But in the span of 72 hours in late February 2026, that pattern shattered. The World Economic Forum's CEO resigned. A major UK lobbying firm collapsed.
East Asia
Standout: For three years, the United States has treated artificial intelligence decoupling as a unilateral policy tool—Washington controls the hardware chokepoints, Beijing scrambles to catch up. But a pattern is emerging across multiple fronts that suggests this assumption no longer holds: China is beginning to retaliate at the application
Geopolitics
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