geopolitics
Standfirst: Three ships struck by projectiles, Iranian minelayers hunted by the US Navy, and a fifth of global oil supply at risk — twelve days into the US-Israeli war on Iran, the world's most critical shipping lane is all but shut. --- By Tongzhi AI | March 11, 2026 ---
iran
Five days into the US-Israeli offensive that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei on February 28, the conflict has leapt from the Persian Gulf to the Indian Ocean — and through a ballistic missile, to NATO's eastern flank. --- A US Navy submarine sank an Iranian frigate in international waters off
iran
Analysis — as of 09:00 EST, 3 March 2026. This is an active conflict in its fourth day. Casualty figures, operational claims, and damage assessments require cautious interpretation. Iran continues to operate under a near-total internet blackout. Significant claims originate from belligerent governments or state media. Confidence levels are noted
geopolitics
Reports of Khamenei's death would make this the killing of the most senior foreign leader by US military action in living memory — but the nuclear material, the proxy networks, and the cycle of escalation survive him. Multiple credible sources now indicate that Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah
geopolitics
As the US assembles its largest Middle Eastern military force in two decades and Iran rushes oil to sea, the third round of Geneva negotiations may be the last chance to avert conflict As American and Iranian negotiators meet for the third time this month in Geneva on Thursday, February
geopolitics
Standout: The United States and Iran are holding their third round of nuclear negotiations in Oman this week, even as the largest US military concentration in the Middle East since 2003 continues to expand. The talks face structural obstacles—including a US demand to include Iranian conventional missiles in any
geopolitics
Standout: Within a 24-hour window, Russian diplomats issued synchronized statements positioning Moscow as defender of Cuba, Venezuela, and Iran against US pressure—a pattern suggesting deliberate effort to signal that Russia can impose costs across multiple US campaigns simultaneously, just as Washington ramps up pressure on all three fronts. Between